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澳元/美元在中国宏观数据公布前稳稳保持在0.6400以上

    Lubomir Tassev 2025-05-19 09:49:29

    澳元/美元


    澳元/美元在新的一周以低迷的姿态开局，并在亚洲时段稳固在0.6400整数关口上方。此外，现货价格在过去一个月左右的熟悉区间内保持稳定，交易者在寻找新的催化剂之前尚未进行下一步的方向性布局。


    与此同时，周一的中国宏观数据发布可能为澳元/美元提供一些动能，并让交易者抓住短期机会。然而，市场的即时反应更可能受到限制，因为焦点仍然集中在周二关键的澳大利亚储备银行（RBA）政策决定上。


    预计澳大利亚央行将把关键利率下调25个基点，并在今年再降低两次借贷成本，原因是通胀放缓和贸易紧张局势带来的增长担忧。然而，美中贸易战的缓和减轻了市场对澳储行更激进政策宽松的押注。


    尽管如此，政策前景将影响澳元（AUD），并决定澳元/美元下一步的方向性走势。在关键央行事件风险临近之际，全球风险情绪的转变——如股市普遍疲软所示——被认为限制了澳元的上涨。


    美国政府信用评级的意外下调抑制了投资者对风险资产的胃口。除此之外，联准会（Fed）更多降息的押注使美元（USD）保持低迷，这反过来可能继续为澳元/美元货币对提供顺风，令看空交易者保持谨慎。

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